• Invisible leverage is no longer invisible: Is investor risk perception impacted?

    In 2019, accounting rules regarding treatment of operating leases were changed. Under old accounting operating leases were expensed. As per new accounting, operating leases have finally found the place where they long belonged, the balance sheet. Retail, restaurants, airlines, logistics and telecom companies have significant operating lease obligations. With lease liabilities becoming visible as debt (and…

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  • Zuora – bet on subscription economy?

    Zuora was founded by Tien Tzuo (ex-chief strategy officer at Salesforce) in 2007. Tien coined the term subscription economy to define the shift taking place from product ownership to service consumption (Uber and Netflix are very relatable examples of companies that helped enhance the movement form car and dvd ownership to “as a service”). He…

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  • Lyft Valuation Update – 2020

    In this writing, I dive into Lyft’s numbers again and value the firm as it battles the pandemic. Valuation is built on the expectation that after mobility levels recover, economies of scale will start taking effect in the mid-long term. Using rider based economics in my DCF valuation, I value existing active riders at ~$15…

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  • Costco Equity Valuation

    Costco Wholesale Corporation (Costco) has a solid business model with a predictable stream of subscription revenue, which constitutes 90% of the net profit. In the video (embedded below), I have projected out Costco’s financial statements and valued its equity. Although, Costco trades at a P/E of ~36 (amongst the highest in the retail business it…

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  • Value in Facebook

    Facebook earns close to 99% of its revenue by advertising. Marketers pay for ad products based on the number of impressions delivered or the number of clicks done by users. The business continues to impress me given that my friends, family and colleagues are so hooked to the platform and most of them (albeit to…

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